Comment Analysis · Docket FS-2025-0001

FS-2025-0001-296443

Opposes rescissionA1 strongSubstance 14/24Owed an answerPosted September 1, 2026 On Regulations.gov

In short: The comment places on the record that the DEIS fails to evaluate flood hazards for the Three Ridges IRA as required by Executive Order 11988, and documents that road construction in roadless areas increases wildfire ignition density and exacerbates the Forest Service's $15.6 billion deferred maintenance backlog.

Scored directly — The comment's whole text was scored on its own.

Scorecard

Each dimension is scored 0–3; the eight sum to the substance score out of 24.

  • Specific placeNames a specific location — from a region down to an exact creek, trail, road, or map reference.
  • Local knowledgeDraws on a first-hand connection to the place — visits, sustained activity, occupation, or a professional role.
  • EA analysisEngages the agency's environmental analysis directly.
  • Analytical gapIdentifies something the analysis fails to address.
  • EvidenceBacks claims with specific facts, data, or research.
  • RequestMakes a specific, actionable request of the agency.
  • AlternativeProposes a different course of action.
  • LegalCites statutes, regulations, or legal obligations.

How hard it is to set aside

A1 strong: Must be answered — it names the law.

Owed an answer on Analytical gap, Evidence, Legal.

Standard dismissals it defeats

  • Already addressed The agency says its analysis already covers the point. Defeated when the comment cites the law itself: there is no analysis to cite against a statutory claim.
  • Misreads the proposal The agency says the comment misunderstands what is proposed. Defeated when the comment engages the proposal or a named place directly.
  • No cause and effect shown The agency says the comment asserts a harm without showing how the action causes it. Defeated when the comment shows the mechanism.
  • Outside the scope The agency says the comment asks about a different action. Defeated when the comment is specific and tied to this proposal.
  • Certified not substantive The agency certifies the comment raises nothing substantive. Defeated when the comment alleges illegality, which is substantive by the definition the certification runs on.

Still open to the agency

  • Alternative already eliminated The agency says it considered and eliminated the alternative the comment proposes, with a reason. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Deferred to a later decision The agency says the point belongs to a later, site-specific decision. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Not required The agency says the analysis the comment asks for is not required. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Preference noted The agency notes the comment as a statement of preference and takes no action on it. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.

Topics

  • Forest Management Wildfire
    • “peer-reviewed science shows the opposite”
    • “wildfire-ignition density was 7.99 fires per 1,000 hectares within 50 meters of roads”
    • “building roads into roadless areas is likely to result in more fires”
    • “forests with higher levels of protection had lower severity values”
  • Water Quality Quantity
    • “drains into downstream floodplains”
    • “road-generated increases in impervious surface, runoff volume, and peak flows”
    • “increased sedimentation and peak flows that are higher and arrive more quickly after storms”
    • “Road construction... converts permeable forest soils to compacted and paved surfaces”
  • Recreation Tourism Public Use
    • “spend as much time as they can on public lands”
    • “roadless parts are what make the rest of it hold together”
    • “most cherished memories”
    • “unique places that are innately American”
  • Economic Impact Fiscal
    • “Building more roads in national forests would be a drain on taxpayers”
    • “deferred-maintenance road backlog was estimated at $8.4 billion”
    • “backlog has never dropped below $5 billion”
    • “Adding new roads... would only deepen that hole”

What it names

National Forests
George Washington National Forest
Roadless areas
Three Ridges
Law cited
Executive Order 11988

The comment

Shaded passages are the ones the analysis quoted as evidence for a dimension: Analytical gapEvidenceLegal

Brooke L. Rollins and Tom Schultz, I'm one of the many people who spend as much time as they can on public lands — not one specific activity, just out there — and I can tell you the roadless parts are what make the rest of it hold together. I have been getting out into roadless areas for as long as I can remember. These moments are my most cherished memories and there is nothing that makes me feel more proud to be an American than being in the unique places that are innately American. If we loose access to this untouched land, we lose what it means to be American. That connection to the land is precisely what the 2001 Roadless Area Conservation Rule was designed to protect, and what the present proposal would place in permanent jeopardy. Regarding the Three Ridges in the George Washington National Forest, Virginia: The Three Ridges IRA in George Washington National Forest drains into downstream floodplains where road-generated increases in impervious surface, runoff volume, and peak flows trigger the flood hazard evaluation mandate of Executive Order 11988. Road construction in the Three Ridges IRA, George Washington National Forest, converts permeable forest soils to compacted and paved surfaces, increasing impervious area, accelerating runoff concentration, and elevating peak flows in downstream floodplains. The DEIS must evaluate the flood hazard potential of road construction in the Three Ridges IRA, George Washington National Forest, as required by Executive Order 11988, including analysis of increased impervious surface, altered runoff patterns, and downstream flood risk. "Road construction is one of the largest potential sources of forest activity-produced sediment (Megahan, 1980). Road networks can be hydrologically connected to stream networks where road surface runoff is delivered directly to stream channels at stream crossings or via ditches or gullies that direct flow off of the road and then to a stream, and where road cuts transform subsurface flow into surface flow in road ditches or on road surfaces that delivers sediment and water to streams much more quickly than without a road present and increases the risk of mass wasting (Jones and Grant, 1996; Montgomery, 1994; Wemple et al., 1996). The combined effects of these drainage network connections are increased sedimentation and peak flows that are higher and arrive more quickly after storms." — U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Although proponents of rolling back the Roadless Rule claim it is needed for wildfire management, the peer-reviewed science shows the opposite. A 2026 study in Fire Ecology by Aplet, Hartger & Dietz analyzed 32 years of wildfire data across all eight contiguous-U.S. Forest Service regions and found wildfire-ignition density was 7.99 fires per 1,000 hectares within 50 meters of roads, compared to just 1.97 fires per 1,000 hectares in inventoried roadless areas—a fourfold difference. A separate national analysis (Balch et al., PNAS 2017) found that 84% of all U.S. wildfires are human-caused. Roads are the primary vector for human ignitions, so building roads into roadless areas is likely to result in more fires, not fewer. Building more roads in national forests would be a drain on taxpayers. Even with the Roadless Rule in place, the Forest Service already has a 380,000-mile road system—twice as long as the U.S. highway system—crisscrossing national forests. The agency cannot afford to maintain it: the deferred-maintenance road backlog was estimated at $8.4 billion in the 2001 Final Environmental Impact Statement and is roughly $15.6 billion in today's dollars. The Government Accountability Office has repeatedly flagged Forest Service deferred maintenance as one of the largest in the federal government, and the backlog has never dropped below $5 billion. Adding new roads to inventoried roadless areas would only deepen that hole. “Analysis of 32 years of wildfire data across all eight contiguous-U.S. Forest Service regions found wildfire-ignition density was 7.99 fires per 1,000 hectares within 50 meters of roads versus just 1.97 fires per 1,000 hectares in inventoried roadless areas—a fourfold difference. Ignition density decreased steadily as distance from roads increased, irrespective of designation. The study concludes that "building roads into roadless areas is likely to result in more fires." — Research - Fire Safety” “Comparing fire severity across forests under different protection regimes, the study found forests with higher levels of protection had lower severity values even though they are generally identified as having the highest overall levels of biomass and fuel loading. The result contradicts the claim that protected, intact forests are more dangerous fire risks. — Research - Fire Safety” I respectfully ask the Department to end this rulemaking without disturbing the existing Rule. Yours in conservation, CommentID: RLC-20260831-PS1KCM

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