Comment Analysis · Docket FS-2025-0001

FS-2025-0001-352727

Opposes rescissionA1 strongSubstance 16/24Owed an answerPosted September 12, 2026 On Regulations.gov

In short: The comment establishes that the DEIS fails to incorporate the quantified 42% decline in southern mountain caribou abundance per 1% road increase found in the agency's own Biological Assessment, and provides peer-reviewed data demonstrating that road construction increases wildfire ignition density and fragments climate refugia.

Scored directly — The comment's whole text was scored on its own.

Scorecard

Each dimension is scored 0–3; the eight sum to the substance score out of 24.

  • Specific placeNames a specific location — from a region down to an exact creek, trail, road, or map reference.
  • Local knowledgeDraws on a first-hand connection to the place — visits, sustained activity, occupation, or a professional role.
  • EA analysisEngages the agency's environmental analysis directly.
  • Analytical gapIdentifies something the analysis fails to address.
  • EvidenceBacks claims with specific facts, data, or research.
  • RequestMakes a specific, actionable request of the agency.
  • AlternativeProposes a different course of action.
  • LegalCites statutes, regulations, or legal obligations.

How hard it is to set aside

A1 strong: Must be answered — it names the law.

Owed an answer on Analytical gap, Legal.

Standard dismissals it defeats

  • Already addressed The agency says its analysis already covers the point. Defeated when the comment cites the law itself: there is no analysis to cite against a statutory claim.
  • Misreads the proposal The agency says the comment misunderstands what is proposed. Defeated when the comment engages the proposal or a named place directly.
  • No cause and effect shown The agency says the comment asserts a harm without showing how the action causes it. Defeated when the comment shows the mechanism.
  • Outside the scope The agency says the comment asks about a different action. Defeated when the comment is specific and tied to this proposal.
  • Certified not substantive The agency certifies the comment raises nothing substantive. Defeated when the comment alleges illegality, which is substantive by the definition the certification runs on.

Still open to the agency

  • Alternative already eliminated The agency says it considered and eliminated the alternative the comment proposes, with a reason. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Deferred to a later decision The agency says the point belongs to a later, site-specific decision. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Not required The agency says the analysis the comment asks for is not required. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Preference noted The agency notes the comment as a statement of preference and takes no action on it. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.

Topics

  • Recreation Tourism Public Use
    • “preserving our pristine backcountry”
    • “peaceful walks, time with friends, and creative inspiration”
    • “Bulldozed road beds would disrupt or end that experience”
    • “backpacking with friends and family”
  • Forest Management Wildfire
    • “guise of wildfire protection, which the data shows isn't accurate”
    • “wildfire-ignition density was 7.99 fires per 1,000 hectares within 50 meters of roads”
    • “building roads into roadless areas is likely to result in more fires, not fewer”
    • “84% of all U.S. wildfires are human-caused”
  • Wildlife Habitat
    • “Most listed species are declining, not recovering”
    • “42% decline in southern mountain caribou abundance”
    • “unfragmented stopover and breeding habitat that hundreds of species depend on”
    • “roadless areas substantially complement biodiversity conservation”
  • Climate Carbon Storage
    • “intact roadless areas are emerging as some of the most important climate refugia”
    • “holds carbon and buffers temperature”
    • “Fragmenting these areas with new roads severs the very connectivity that climate adaptation requires”
    • “shelters cool microclimates”

What it names

National Forests
Angeles National Forest
Roadless areas
Arroyo Seco
Law cited
161 F.3d 1208161 F.3d 1208387 F.3d 989387 F.3d 989
Works cited
10.1002/bes2.130810.1890/1051-0761(2001Lochhead et al. 2022

The comment

Shaded passages are the ones the analysis quoted as evidence for a dimension: Analytical gapEvidenceLegal

Dear Chief: My name is Kevin, I'm a composer, and I stand for preserving our pristine backcountry. I oppose rescinding the roadless rule. I have many memories from peaceful walks, time with friends, and creative inspiration provided by Arroyo Seco. A favorite story of mine is hiking the Arroyo Seco Primitive Trail and camping for a few nights with some friends I was able to share backpacking with friends and family at Arroyo Seco, for many being the first time they tried it. Bulldozed road beds would disrupt or end that experience. Regarding the Arroyo Seco in the Angeles National Forest, California: Most listed species are declining, not recovering. A review of all ESA-listed species found that 52 percent had declining status trends, compared with 8 percent improving. The authors concluded that threats are persistent and pervasive, funding has been insufficient, and at least ten times more species probably qualify for listing than have been listed (Evans et al. 2016). — Evans et al., 2016 (https://doi.org/10.1002/bes2.1308) We need to stop infringing upon the natural world for our own means, even with the guise of wildfire protection, which the data shows isn't accurate. We need to support the environment first, as it's our remarkable home that provides endlessly. Although proponents of rolling back the Roadless Rule claim it is needed for wildfire management, the peer-reviewed science shows the opposite. A 2026 study in Fire Ecology by Aplet, Hartger & Dietz analyzed 32 years of wildfire data across all eight contiguous-U.S. Forest Service regions and found wildfire-ignition density was 7.99 fires per 1,000 hectares within 50 meters of roads, compared to just 1.97 fires per 1,000 hectares in inventoried roadless areas—a fourfold difference. A separate national analysis (Balch et al., PNAS 2017) found that 84% of all U.S. wildfires are human-caused. Roads are the primary vector for human ignitions, so building roads into roadless areas is likely to result in more fires, not fewer. As the climate warms and species ranges shift northward and upslope, intact roadless areas are emerging as some of the most important climate refugia on the continent. Their unfragmented condition shelters cool microclimates, intact hydrology, and the connected habitat corridors that wildlife and plant communities need to adapt as conditions change. A growing body of peer-reviewed science identifies inventoried roadless areas as disproportionately important both as ecosystem-scale refugia — high-quality, undisturbed substrate that holds carbon and buffers temperature — and as species-scale refugia for cold-adapted, drought-sensitive, and otherwise climate-vulnerable populations. They also anchor portions of the Pacific, Central, Mississippi, and Atlantic migratory bird flyways, providing the unfragmented stopover and breeding habitat that hundreds of species depend on. Fragmenting these areas with new roads severs the very connectivity that climate adaptation requires. “Early quantitative analysis showing roadless areas substantially complement biodiversity conservation, with many roadless areas overlapping areas important for imperiled species. — DeVelice & Martin, 2001 (https://doi.org/10.1890/1051-0761(2001)011[1008:ATETWR]2.0.CO;2)” Quantified Caribou Sensitivity in the Biological Assessment (1% Roads → 42% Decline) Never Carried Into the DEIS Effects Analysis The Draft Biological Assessment for USFWS species states at page 66: "The research predicts that for every 1% increase in roads in the matrix habitat, there will be a 42% decline in southern mountain caribou abundance (Lochhead et al. 2022)." This is the agency's own screening document quantifying an extraordinary sensitivity of a listed species to precisely the activity the rescission would newly allow — yet the DEIS's effects analysis nowhere presents, applies, or even acknowledges this ratio in evaluating alternatives. NEPA requires that an EIS contain "a reasonably thorough discussion of the significant aspects of the probable environmental consequences," and general statements do not substitute for the quantified analysis the agency itself possesses. Blue Mountains Biodiversity Project v. Blackwood, 161 F.3d 1208, 1213 (9th Cir. 1998); Klamath-Siskiyou Wildlands Ctr. v. Bureau of Land Mgmt., 387 F.3d 989 (9th Cir. 2004). I request that the DEIS incorporate the Biological Assessment's quantified road-density findings for southern mountain caribou into its species effects analysis and disclose the projected consequences of foreseeable road construction in affected matrix habitat. The Department's consideration of this comment and its underlying position — that the Rule should be retained — is appreciated. Best regards, CommentID: RLC-20260909-RGD2QJ

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