Comment Analysis · Docket FS-2025-0001

FS-2025-0001-609149

Opposes rescissionA1 strongSubstance 13/24Owed an answerPosted October 7, 2026 On Regulations.gov

In short: The comment establishes that the DEIS's rationale for rescinding the 2001 Roadless Rule is contradicted by its own data in Tables 14 and 21 and activity tracking figures, specifically regarding fire ignition densities and the lack of national-level tracking for rule exceptions, rendering the causal chain arbitrary and capricious under 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A).

Scored directly — The comment's whole text was scored on its own.

Scorecard

Each dimension is scored 0–3; the eight sum to the substance score out of 24.

  • Specific placeNames a specific location — from a region down to an exact creek, trail, road, or map reference.
  • Local knowledgeDraws on a first-hand connection to the place — visits, sustained activity, occupation, or a professional role.
  • EA analysisEngages the agency's environmental analysis directly.
  • Analytical gapIdentifies something the analysis fails to address.
  • EvidenceBacks claims with specific facts, data, or research.
  • RequestMakes a specific, actionable request of the agency.
  • AlternativeProposes a different course of action.
  • LegalCites statutes, regulations, or legal obligations.

How hard it is to set aside

A1 strong: Must be answered — it names the law.

Owed an answer on Analytical gap, Evidence, Legal.

Standard dismissals it defeats

  • Already addressed The agency says its analysis already covers the point. Defeated when the comment cites the law itself: there is no analysis to cite against a statutory claim.
  • Misreads the proposal The agency says the comment misunderstands what is proposed. Defeated when the comment engages the proposal or a named place directly.
  • No cause and effect shown The agency says the comment asserts a harm without showing how the action causes it. Defeated when the comment shows the mechanism.
  • Outside the scope The agency says the comment asks about a different action. Defeated when the comment is specific and tied to this proposal.
  • Certified not substantive The agency certifies the comment raises nothing substantive. Defeated when the comment alleges illegality, which is substantive by the definition the certification runs on.

Still open to the agency

  • Alternative already eliminated The agency says it considered and eliminated the alternative the comment proposes, with a reason. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Deferred to a later decision The agency says the point belongs to a later, site-specific decision. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Not required The agency says the analysis the comment asks for is not required. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.
  • Preference noted The agency notes the comment as a statement of preference and takes no action on it. Cannot be defeated from the comment text alone.

Topics

  • Legal Regulatory Framework
    • “arbitrary and capricious under 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A)”
    • “request a factual correction to the Rationale for the Proposed Rule under 7 CFR 1b.7(f)(2)(v)”
    • “Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass'n v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co.”
    • “Kern v. Bureau of Land Management”
  • Scientific Research Evidence
    • “supported by peer reviewed research”
    • “DEIS's Own Tables 14 and 21 Contradict the Rationale”
    • “comparative data the DEIS itself publishes contradict each step of that chain”
    • “ignition density from the Interagency Fire Occurrence Reporting Module”
  • Water Quality Quantity
    • “potential impact on water quality”
    • “major cities like Los Angeles that get most of their water from the Sierras”
  • Forest Management Wildfire
    • “concerned about fire risks associated with expanding roads”
    • “human-caused ignitions at 3.0 fires per million acres per year within potentially affected IRAs”
    • “roads facilitate human access”
    • “hazardous fuels reduction within IRAs”

What it names

Law cited
284 F.3d 1062463 U.S. 297 CFR 1b

The comment

Shaded passages are the ones the analysis quoted as evidence for a dimension: Specific placeLocal knowledgeEA analysisAnalytical gapRequestAlternativeLegal

Dear Secretary Rollins and Chief Schultz: I am writing to express my strong opposition to the recission of the 2001 Roadless Rule. The Roadless Rule is supported by peer reviewed research as well as the Forest Service's own analysis, and I want the land I love spending time to be protected in the future. I am concerned about fire risks associated with expanding roads and the potential impact on water quality, especially for major cities like Los Angeles that get most of their water from the Sierras. The DEIS's Own Tables 14 and 21 Contradict the Rationale's Forest-Health Causal Chain. The Rationale for the Proposed Rule states that the 2001 Roadless Rule “limited the Forest Service’s ability to conduct vegetation management within inventoried roadless areas and has contributed to the lack of active management of the national forests, which has contributed to challenges in addressing forest health concerns” (DEIS p. 19). The comparative data the DEIS itself publishes contradict each step of that chain, and the FEIS must correct or withdraw the assertion. First, fire. Table 21 (DEIS p. 98) reports ignition density from the Interagency Fire Occurrence Reporting Module for 2014–2024: human-caused ignitions at 3.0 fires per million acres per year within potentially affected IRAs against 22.4 on other NFS lands, and natural ignitions at 8.5 against 16.8. The DEIS’s own text on that page explains why, finding that ignitions “increase in abundance with proximity to roads, supporting the notion that roads facilitate human access” and in turn more human-caused fires. The access the proposed rescission would restore is the variable the agency’s own data associate with a sevenfold higher human ignition rate. Second, the premise that the 2001 Rule produced a lack of active management. The DEIS reports that the Forest Service Activity Tracking System shows “an average of 500 acres per year of timber harvest and a total of 1.8 million acres of hazardous fuels reduction within IRAs” over the last decade (p. 15). On the same pages it concedes that “There is no national-level tracking of the review, approval, or implementation of 2001 Roadless Rule exceptions” (p. 14), and at p. 75 that while “Some of this annual mortality is observed within IRAs,” it is “not possible to characterize the mortality observed on IRAs on a national scale.” The agency thus states that it can measure neither the exceptions actually granted nor the roadless-specific mortality outcome, while asserting a causal relationship running from the first to the second. The rationale is therefore not merely unsupported; it is contradicted by the analysis printed in the same document. An explanation that runs counter to the evidence before the agency is arbitrary and capricious under 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A). Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 463 U.S. 29, 43 (1983); see also Kern v. Bureau of Land Management, 284 F.3d 1062 (9th Cir. 2002) (programmatic EIS may not pass over a risk the record permits it to analyze). I request a factual correction to the Rationale for the Proposed Rule under 7 CFR 1b.7(f)(2)(v), reconciling it with Table 14, Table 21, and the activity figures at pp. 14–15 — either by withdrawing the forest-health causal chain, or by stating, region by region and against those tables, where roadless designation is in fact associated with worse forest-health outcomes than active management. The correction cannot be deferred to project-level NEPA: the assertion is a rule-level justification, it appears in the rule’s rationale rather than in any effects analysis, and it is the premise against which alternatives were eliminated from detailed study as failing the purpose and need. If the FEIS retains the assertion, it should state which acres, in which regions, the tables are said to support it on, and where in the record the agency’s response is accounted for under 7 CFR 1b.7(f)(3). The Department should not rescind the 2001 Roadless Area Conservation Rule. CommentID: RLC-20261007-FAEAQ6

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